Oakland Raiders: To Be or Not to Be in the Playoffs

Sometimes it makes sense to look at historical data and to calculate probabilities in order to get a feel for a situation. After looking at 21 selected years when the Oakland Raiders went to the playoffs, the following observations can be made:

1. The Oakland Raiders made it to the playoffs only two times when their total wins were eight, in 1970 and 1982.

2. Here is a table showing probabilities for two different eras.

        Overall (21)        from 1978 (11)
Tot. Wins/Frequency/Probability    from 1978    Probability
11    5      0.23                                3                  0.27
12    7      0.33                                4                  0.36
10    3      0.14                                2                  0.18
9      2      0.09                                1   &nbs...

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