NBA Draft Expert’s Notebook: What Can LA Lakers Expect from Julius Randle?

There's a good chance the Los Angeles Lakers could end up stinking next year—at least relative to other teams in the Western Conference and traditional franchise expectations. And Julius Randle isn't changing that. 

Andrew Wiggins and Jabari Parker wouldn't change it, either. It's just not in a rookie's power to move the needle for his team. 

Like every organization should with its rookies, the Lakers should expect inconsistency from Randle—inconsistency tied to the trial-and-error process of figuring out what the heck works and what doesn't.

Quite frankly, this process might be a bit more laborious for Randle, whose transition to the pros could require some serious adjustments.

Credit that to his preferred spots on the floor, which will be occupied by bigger, stronger and longer 4s and 5s, as well as his particular style of play. Randle does just about all of his damage in the paint, where his view of the rim won't be nearly as clear as the one he got in college.



 

Expected Bumps

Through four Las Vegas Summer League games, Randle saw some of his "big-man numbers" (field-goal percentage and rebounding) fall off from the ones he put up last year at Kentucky. Randle only shot 41.9 percent (shot 50.1 percent at Kentucky) and pulled in just 4.3 boards in 23.5 minutes.

Of course, the sample size is tiny, but it's reasonable to assume some of the problems he had in Vegas could carry over into the regular season. 

The fact that Randle can't score away from the rim has to be a bit worrisome. Randle averaged 12.5 points in summer league on 18 made field goals, and every single one of them came in the paint. It's really a tough place to make an exclusive living these days. 

Check out Randle's shot chart from his freshman season at Kentucky, from Dylan Burkhardt of umhoops.com and Shotanalytics.com:
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